daily fantasy nerd DraftKings ceiling charts 2-21-15

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GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

00af4fa7_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-20+at+4.19.59+PM

Lou Williams – Doubtful: ankle.

Mitch McGary – Caution: Kanter addition.

Mid + (> $5,000)

00af4fa7_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-20+at+4.20.05+PM

Mo Williams – Note: new team.

Darren Collison – Out: hip.

 

*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

For further analysis, check out our free player data and lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, Odds, Season and Recent performance, Ratios, and much more!

daily fantasy nerd DraftKings floor charts 2-21-15

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Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

00af4fa7_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-20+at+4.20.13+PM

Brandon Knight – Note: new team.

Darren Collison – Out: hip.

Goran Dragic – Note: new team.

SG

00af4fa7_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-20+at+4.20.23+PM

SF

00af4fa7_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-20+at+4.20.33+PM

Kevin Durant – Out: foot.

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist – Probable: hammy.

PF

00af4fa7_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-20+at+4.20.44+PM

C

00af4fa7_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-20+at+4.20.53+PM

 

*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

For further analysis, check out our free player data and lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, Odds, Season and Recent performance, Ratios, and much more!

daily fantasy nerd FanDuel ceiling charts 2/20/15

kevinmartin

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

fdbargain

Lance Thomas – Probable: ankle.

Kris Humphires – Probable: back.

Mid + (> $5,000)

fdmid

Deron Williams – Bump: Jarrett Jack out.

Tobias Harris – Out: knee.

Ryan Anderson – Doubtful: elbow.

Manu Ginobili – Questionable: old.

 

*Score ratio = 67% season ceiling ratio + 33% L10 ceiling ratio

For further analysis, check out our free player data and lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, Odds, Season and Recent performance, Ratios, and much more!

daily fantasy nerd FanDuel floor charts 2/20/15

paugasol

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

PG

fdpg

Darren Collison – Out: hip.

SG

fdsg

SF

fdsf

Tobias Harris – Out: knee.

PF

fdpf

Dirk Nowitzki – Questionable: old.

Anthony Davis – Probable: shoulder.

C

Screen Shot 2015-02-20 at 3.39.43 PM

 

*Score ratio = 67% season floor ratio + 33% L10 floor ratio

For further analysis, check out our free player data and lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, Odds, Season and Recent performance, Ratios, and much more!

daily fantasy nerd DraftKings ceiling charts 2/20/15

geraldgreen

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

dkbargain

Gerald Green – Bump: Goran Dragic and Isaiah Thomas traded.

Mid + (> $5,000)

dkmid

Deron Williams – Bump: Jarrett Jack out.

Ryan Anderson – Doubtful: elbow.

 

*Score ratio = 67% season ceiling ratio + 33% L10 ceiling ratio

For further analysis, check out our free player data and lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, Odds, Season and Recent performance, Ratios, and much more!

daily fantasy nerd DraftKings floor charts 2/20/15

jamesharden

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

dkpg

Darren Collison – Out: hip.

SG

dksg

Jimmy Butler – Probable: shoulder.

SF

dksf

PF

dkpf

C

dkc

 

*Score ratio = 67% season floor ratio + 33% L10 floor ratio

For further analysis, check out our free player data and lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, Odds, Season and Recent performance, Ratios, and much more!

daily fantasy nerd DraftKings floor charts 2/19/15

westbrook

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 9.16.48 PM

Reggie Jackson – Out. Traded to Pistons.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 9.16.57 PM

SF

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 9.17.05 PM

PF

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 9.17.14 PM

Mitch McGary – Note: negative floor due to high standard deviation.

C

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 9.17.23 PM

Tyson Chandler – Probable. Ankle.

Kendrick Perkins – Out. Traded to Jazz.

 

*Score ratio = 67% season floor ratio + 33% L10 floor ratio

For further analysis, check out our free player data and lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, Odds, Season and Recent performance, Ratios, and much more!

daily fantasy nerd DraftKings ceiling charts 2/19/15

dj

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 6.50.09 PM

Reggie Jackson – Out. Traded to Pistons.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 6.50.17 PM

Tyson Chandler – Probable. Ankle.

 

*Score ratio = 67% season ceiling ratio + 33% L10 ceiling ratio

For further analysis, check out our free player data and lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, Odds, Season and Recent performance, Ratios, and much more!

daily fantasy nerd FanDuel floor charts 2/19/15

dirk

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

PG

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 9.20.13 PM

Reggie Jackson – Out. Traded to Pistons.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 9.20.22 PM

SF

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 9.20.29 PM

PF

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 9.20.40 PM

Mitch McGary – Note: negative floor due to high standard deviation.

C

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 9.20.48 PM

Tyson Chandler – Probable. Ankle.

Kendrick Perkins – Out. Traded to Jazz.

 

*Score ratio = 67% season floor ratio + 33% L10 floor ratio

For further analysis, check out our free player data and lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, Odds, Season and Recent performance, Ratios, and much more!

daily fantasy nerd FanDuel ceiling charts 2/19/15

manu

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 7.31.08 PM

Reggie Jackson – Out. Traded to Pistons.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-02-18 at 7.31.14 PM

Tyson Chandler – Probable. Ankle.

 

*Score ratio = 67% season ceiling ratio + 33% L10 ceiling ratio

For further analysis, check out our free player data and lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, Odds, Season and Recent performance, Ratios, and much more!