FanDuel NBA Floor Charts 2-27-15

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Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

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PG

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The Warriors/Raptors game has a 215 over/under and a spread of 1 initially. It’s very possible that Bogut and Iguodala sit this game. If they do, the Warriors will need to rely on their offense more than their defense. Steph Curry will have his fingerprints all over this game either way. In his last 3 games against the Raptors, Curry has returned 58, 45 and 54 FP.

The Thunder offense rests solely on Russell Westbeast’s shoulders right now and his per minute production is insane. What I love most about RWB is his aggressive mentality. He won’t be taking any plays off and he’ll get all the touches he wants. You’ll have to pay a pretty penny, but I have a hard time seeing him scoring below 50 FP in this match up with the Blazers.

John Wall hasn’t looked right lately. He’s reported as having a jammed thumb currently and it may have affected him these past few games. In addition, this game against the 76ers could get out of hand quickly. Despite his enticing price, I’ll be looking elsewhere to pay up for PG on Friday.

Langston Galloway has gotten over 36 minutes of playing time in each of his last 3 games and his role on the Knicks is solid. Jose Calderon just went down with an Achilles injury, so Galloway’s ball handling responsibilities could go up. With the added touches and his amount of playing time, 5.3k is under priced in my opinion.

SG

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Jason Richardson – Note: small sample size. Seeing minutes in mid 20’s.

James Harden – Questionable: ankle.

SF

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Wilson Chandler – Probable: hip.

Depending on the status of Iguodala, Harrison Barnes may see some extra run against the Raptors. He’s currently seeing time around 30 minutes and could see that bumped by 5 minutes or more. HB is only priced at 4.3k and is a low risk punt play if Andre is out.

Boogie is currently listed as out for Friday’s game. As it stands, the keys to the Kings offense will belong to Rudy Gay. Gay will see all the minutes and shots that he wants, the only caveat being the Spurs’ stingy defense in the form of Kawhi Leonard.

Speaking of Kawhi Leonard, he finally saw more than 30 minutes in his last game against the Blazers. Seeing that amount of time, Kawhi is usually priced in the upper 7k’s. Assuming his increased minutes stick, Kawhi can be had at a great discount.

PF

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Joffrey Lauvergne – Note: small sample size.

UPDATE: Pau Gasol is OUT with an illness

With the Derrick Rose unfortunately out with a torn meniscus, the Bulls have to make up for his offensive production. Pau Gasol took 20 shots in his last game against the slow paced Hornets. The last time Gasol took 20 shots or more was in early January. Gasol will face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves who are top 10 in pace in the NBA so he should see more than 20 FGA. The only drawback with playing Gasol is relying on the TWolves to keep the game competitive. The spread is currently set at 6.5.

C

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Andrew Bogut – Questionable: rest.

 

*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

For further analysis, check out our free FanDuel NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performance, values, and much more!

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