DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 4-1-15

1505d86b_smush_John-Walls-sick-pass

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling value (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling value, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling value.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.10.41 AM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.10.54 AM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

DeMarcus Cousins is questionable and may be rested due to an assortment of injuries.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

DraftKings NBA Floor Charts 4-1-15

westbrook

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor value (floor divided by price). The higher the floor value, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor value.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.11.02 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

SG

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.11.12 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Monta Ellis is questionable with a bruised calf.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.11.20 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute is questionable with a sore shoulder.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.11.31 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

C

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.11.39 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

DeMarcus Cousins is questionable and may be rested due to an assortment of injuries.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 3-31-15

072514_mack(1)

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling value (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling value, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling value.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.28.54 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Chris Andersen is questionable with a calf contusion.

Shelvin Mack will likely get the start with Jeff Teague and Dennis Schroder both expected to be out.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.29.02 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Dwyane Wade is probable with a knee contusion.

Hassan Whiteside is questionable with a hand laceration.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

DraftKings NBA Floor Charts 3-31-15

63013_Paul-1

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor value (floor divided by price). The higher the floor value, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor value.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.29.12 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

SG

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.29.23 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Dwyane Wade is probable with a knee contusion.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.29.32 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Earl Clark‘s stats are based off of a small sample size.

Michael Beasley is questionable with a bruised elbow.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.29.45 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Greg Monroe is out with a strained knee.

Draymond Green is out with a shin injury.

C

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.29.53 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Chris Andersen is questionable with a calf contusion.

Hassan Whiteside is questionable with a hand laceration.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

FanDuel NBA Floor Charts 3-31-15

63013_Paul-1

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor value (floor divided by price). The higher the floor value, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor value.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

PG

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.13.39 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

SG

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.13.48 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Dwyane Wade is probable with a knee contusion.

Rodney Stuckey is questionable with a sore wrist.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.13.55 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Earl Clark‘s stats are based off of a small sample size.

Draymond Green is out with a shin injury.

Luol Deng is questionable with a bruised knee.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.14.04 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Greg Monroe is out with a strained knee.

C

Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 11.14.13 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Chris Andersen is questionable with a calf contusion.

Hassan Whiteside is questionable with a hand laceration.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 3-30-15

isaiah-thomas-celtics(1)

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling value (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling value, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling value.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-29 at 10.44.13 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-29 at 10.44.22 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

DraftKings NBA Floor Charts 3-30-15

paul-millsap(1)

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor value (floor divided by price). The higher the floor value, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor value.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-03-29 at 10.44.31 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Jeremy Lin is questionable with a respiratory infection.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-03-29 at 10.44.40 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

SF

Screen Shot 2015-03-29 at 10.44.47 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Tony Allen is doubtful with a strained hammy.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-03-29 at 10.44.55 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Derrick Favors is questionable with back spasms.

C

Screen Shot 2015-03-29 at 10.45.03 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 3-29-15

Devin-Harris(1)

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling value (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling value, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling value.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-28 at 11.27.46 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Devin Harris gets a bump with Monta Ellis likely being out.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-28 at 11.28.02 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Deron Williams is questionable with an illness.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

DraftKings NBA Floor Charts 3-29-15

russell-westbrook-nba-playoffs-memphis-grizzlies-oklahoma-city-thunder(1)

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor value (floor divided by price). The higher the floor value, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor value.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-03-28 at 11.28.13 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Brandon Knight is questionable with a sprained ankle.

Deron Williams is questionable with an illness.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-03-28 at 11.28.23 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Dwyane Wade is questionable with a knee contusion.

Monta Ellis is doubtful with a bruised right calf.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-03-28 at 11.28.54 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Tony Allen is questionable with a strained hammy.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-03-28 at 11.40.37 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

David West is probable with an illness.

C

Screen Shot 2015-03-28 at 11.29.15 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 3-28-15

103012_Lawson(1)

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling value (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling value, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling value.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-27 at 9.09.36 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Kyle Korver is out on the back end of a back-to-back.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-27 at 9.09.44 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Al Jefferson has scored over 40 FP in back to back games, yet his price remains in the mid 6k’s. On paper, he draws a tough matchup against the Hawks. However, Al Horford is questionable on the back end of a back-to-back. Horford’s absence would make things easier for Big Al and he would make a great bargain play in this scenario. Keep an eye on Al Horford’s status.

Trey Burke potentially gets the the start pending Dante Exum’s status. Exum didn’t play in the 2nd half against the Nuggets due to illness allowing Burke to start for the Jazz in the 2nd half. Exum’s absence would likely net Burke some additional minutes along with the starting role. Rodney Hood is also questionable and his absence would also give Burke some additional run. Although these scenarios bump Burke’s value, I like Schroder more if Teague is out. Keep an eye on news out of Utah.

Ty Lawson has scored over 35 FP in 3 of his last 4 games. Lawson doesn’t take many shots, so he makes most of his FP on assists and efficient shooting. The concern here is an off shooting night along with lower minutes relative to his season average. Over his last 2 games, Lawson hasn’t seen above 33 minutes whereas his season average is 35 minutes. On the bright side, Lawson has scored 53 FP, 50 FP, and 43 FP on the Blazers this season and his track record and price make him an excellent play at PG.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)