FanDuel NBA Ceiling Charts 4-1-15

bradley-beal-nba-los-angeles-lakers-washington-wizards-850x560(1)

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling value (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling value, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling value.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.23.37 AM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.23.43 AM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Corey Brewer is probable with a strained oblique.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

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FanDuel NBA Floor Charts 4-1-15

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Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor value (floor divided by price). The higher the floor value, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor value.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

PG

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.23.51 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

SG

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.23.59 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Monta Ellis is questionable with a bruised calf.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.31.05 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute is questionable with a sore shoulder.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.24.15 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Derrick Favors is questionable with back spasms.

C

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.24.22 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

DeMarcus Cousins is questionable and may be rested due to an assortment of injuries.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 4-1-15

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GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling value (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling value, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling value.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.10.41 AM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.10.54 AM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

DeMarcus Cousins is questionable and may be rested due to an assortment of injuries.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)

DraftKings NBA Floor Charts 4-1-15

westbrook

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor value (floor divided by price). The higher the floor value, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor value.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.11.02 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

SG

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.11.12 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Monta Ellis is questionable with a bruised calf.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.11.20 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute is questionable with a sore shoulder.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.11.31 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

C

Screen Shot 2015-04-01 at 12.11.39 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

DeMarcus Cousins is questionable and may be rested due to an assortment of injuries.

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more:

Build Optimal Lineups - FREE

 

tumblr_mf19t9eX3R1r68cfpo1_500(1)