DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 3-4-15

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GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 6.52.38 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Manu Ginobili‘s price has fallen in direct correlation with his minutes and production. He’s played over 20 minutes only once in his last 5 games and he played over 20 minutes in that one game by only 19 seconds. Despite the lower minutes, Manu’s always prone to an outburst which makes him well suited for GPP’s.

Jeremy Lin is nearing Linsanity production again and he’s priced as a bargain. He’s played over 30 minutes and scored over 45 FP in both of his last games (!). Lin comes off the bench as a spark plug and racks up the stats in a hurry. However, he’ll be playing against the Heat tomorrow and will have to contend with the likes of Hassan Whiteside. Despite the rim protection for the Heat tomorrow, Lin’s upside and price make him a great GPP play.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 6.52.44 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Brandon Knight‘s playing time and price are certainly favorable, but he doesn’t look completely comfortable as a Sun yet. Knight has played at least 40 minutes in the last 2 games not marred by injury, yet he scored under 30 FP in each game mostly due to his atrocious field goal percentage which was below 40%. One can certainly speculate that he’ll shoot a better percentage and thus outproduce his low price tag.

Kevin Martin is probable.

Kenneth Faried played over 30 minutes last night for the first time since early February. With Brian Shaw out, it looks like Faried will finally get a consistent role. I don’t do the whole hashtag thing, but I imagine an “#unleashthemanimal” is appropriate here. He’s priced for his outdated lesser role and he makes for a good GPP play against the TWolves.

Gorgui Dieng has a matchup against the new look Nuggets and the TWolves may be without Nikola Pekovic who is nursing soreness in his ankle. Pekovic sounds like he really wants to go, but he may be held out for his own good. If Pek is out, Dieng will see major minutes against a team that’s struggled to contain big men over the last couple of seasons. Keep an eye on Pekovic’s status and be prepared to plug in Dieng.

Check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more.

DraftKings NBA Floor Charts 3-4-15

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Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 9.06.09 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Brandon Knight‘s playing time and price are certainly favorable, but he doesn’t look completely comfortable as a Sun yet. Knight has played at least 40 minutes in the last 2 games not marred by injury, yet he scored under 30 FP in each game mostly due to his atrocious field goal percentage which was below 40%. One can certainly speculate that he’ll shoot a better percentage and thus outproduce his low price tag, but that’s a speculation that I won’t be making for my cash lineups.

Ty Lawson along with the rest of his team showed signs of life in their first game without Brian Shaw. Although the Bucks were a bit of a joke last season, they’re a legit team with a good defense this year and the Nuggets did well in beating them. Lawson played only 31 minutes, but he notched a double double and had a good night. This may be the start of something for Lawson and the Nuggets and it will be interesting to see if they can carry this momentum forward, but I won’t be playing Lawson until he shows he can be consistent.

Chris Paul is my favorite play of the night. His consistency has been amazing and he’s posted 5 straight games of 48+ FP. The Clippers go as CP3 goes and he’ll be heavily relied upon against the Blazers. In his last 4 meetings with Portland, the least amount of FP scored by CP3 was 49. Paul will be the cornerstone of all of my lineups.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 6.53.10 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Jason Richardson‘s sample size is still small, but he’s playing minutes in the mid 20’s and he’ll notch a few 3’s which will be a benefit on DraftKings. In his 5 games as a Sixer, the least he’s scored is 12 FP and he’s been surprisingly reliable, if not flashy.

Manu Ginobili‘s price has fallen in direct correlation with his minutes and production. He’s played over 20 minutes only once in his last 5 games and he played over 20 minutes in that one game by only 19 seconds. Despite the lower minutes, Manu’s always prone to an outburst which makes him well suited for GPP’s, but not so much for cash games.

Victor Oladipo has been extremely consistent and hasn’t scored below 20 FP since mid-December. He has played over 35 minutes and scored over 30 FP in 3 straight games and that trend should continue against the Suns. The Vegas lines for this game is currently set at an over/under of 203 and a spread of 4.5 which weighs in Oladipo’s favor.

Kevin Martin is probable with an illness.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 6.53.21 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

LeBron James has been giving us a reminder that he’s very much an MVP candidate with his recent play. Kyrie Irving returned in the game against the Celtics, but James didn’t take the foot off the pedal. He was on his way to an amazing night but didn’t play a full game because the Celtics were blown out by the 3rd quarter (the 2nd quarter, really). He’s in top form now and is still priced very reasonably on DraftKings. Being able to rest through the latter stages of the Celtics game should have helped keep LeBron fresh.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 6.53.30 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Derrick Favors has scored over 33 FP for 6 straight games and gets a soft match up against the Celtics coming up. Both teams are on the back end of a back-to-back which should level the playing field. Boston also plays at a faster pace which means the Jazz will be playing up in pace a bit. It’s generally a good idea to take big men against Boston and I’ll probably have Favors paired with the Stifle Tower in a fair share of my lineups.

Zach Randolph is probable with an illness.

C

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 6.53.41 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

DeMarcus Cousins returned from injury and put up impressive numbers in a blow out win against the lowly Knicks. His price is below 10k which makes him appealing, but I’ll be staying away from him in cash game due to 2 reasons. The Kings are playing the Spurs on the back end of a back-to-back and it’s unclear if Coach Karl will take it easy on Boogie in terms of minutes. Also, Boogie tends to make bad decisions that get him in foul trouble or straight up tossed from the game. I’ll definitely consider him in GPP lineups, but that’s it for me.

Marc Gasol is playing against the Rockets who don’t have a true center starting for them. He should be able to assert himself in this game however he wants to and he has the possible added bonus of playing without Zeebo who is currently questionable with an illness. If Randolph sits out, Gasol will get more looks and should pay off his 7.5k salary against the smaller Rockets.

Check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more.

FanDuel NBA Ceiling Charts 3-3-15

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GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 10.38.12 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Corey Brewer‘s playing time has been severely reduced in his last 2 games out, but he stands to get a bump in minutes with James Harden suspended for one game. He’s a boom or bust play that can rack up steals in a hurry and he’s modestly priced. In 2 of his last 5 games, Brewer exceeded 34 FP. Keep an eye out to see who’s starting for the Rockets.

Andrea Bargnani is playing a key role in the depleted Knicks roster. He’s played over 30 minutes in 2 consecutive games and has taken over 10 shots in 4 straight games. He’s featured a fair amount in their offense and he should continue to see a good portion of shots with his 30 minutes. He’s modestly priced at 4.6k and he makes for a great GPP play.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 10.38.20 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Jeremy Lin is starting to get a more consistent role under Coach Scott. In his last 3 games, Lin has receive 23, 29 and 32 minutes of playing time and he’s trending in the right direction. Lin is an offensively aggressive player that likes to slash to the rim and draw contact and Al Jefferson isn’t known for his rim protection. Although Lin is coming off the bench, 30 minutes of playing time with a high usage rate is a reasonable expectation. He makes for an excellent GPP play.

Bradley Beal returned and surprisingly played 33 minutes in his last game. There haven’t been any reports of setbacks after the game, so it’s difficult to tell whether he’ll receive his usual share of minutes again in this game with the Bulls. Jimmy Butler’s absence due to an elbow injury weighs in Beal’s favor and he’s priced roughly 1k lower than he usually is. Beal makes for a decent GPP play.

Mo Williams has been killing it for the Hornets. He’s had 2 straight games of over 39 FP and 5 straight games of over 27 FP. John Legend has been given the green light and he’s gotten at least 15 FGA in every game as a Hornet. He’s only priced at 6.6k and he’s playing the Lakers who have had trouble defending the PG position this year. He’s one of my favorite plays of the day and he’s ready to go right now.

Check out our free FanDuel NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more.

FanDuel NBA Floor Charts 3-3-15

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Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

PG

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 10.38.31 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Patrick Beverley isn’t known as a prolific scorer, but as a starting point guard playing 35 minutes a game and priced at 4.5k, he doesn’t really have to be. The title of “point guard’ for Beverley has been a misnomer actually since James Harden usually does all of the ball handling. However, Harden has been suspended for a game and that should leave the keys to the kingdom to Beverley. With the added responsibilities and perhaps even a few more minutes, Beverley makes for a great value play.

Kyrie Irving is probable with a strained shoulder.

Isaiah Thomas has taken over 20 shots in 2 consecutive games. That’s an insane offensive load for a bench player, but that seems to be the norm for IT2 moving forward. In this game against the Cavs, it’s likely the Celtics will need IT2 to put in a huge offensive performance to stay in the game. The drawback with the Pizza Guy is his rise in price. He’s nearly 7k now and that’s a lot of salary for a bench player that’s only played over 30 minutes once in his 5 games as a Celtic. He’s still finding his way in some of my lineups given his shots per game though.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 10.38.40 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Kyle Korver isn’t the flashiest name in DFS and he’s more often praised for his on court impact as opposed to his fantasy impact. However, Korver still sees minutes in the mid 30’s and he can rack up the points quickly since he contributes across the board. He’s exceeded 28 FP in his last 2 games against the Rockets and that trend should continue.

Giannis Antetokounmpo‘s potential has never been in question, but his consistency has. He’s moderately priced at 6.4k and carries 40+ FP upside making him a risky, but appealing play. He’s still seeing his usual workload, but his level of production has fallen since the All Star break. He gets to face off against the hapless Nuggets and the risk of blow out should be factored in if you’re considering taking the Greek Freak a well.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 10.38.48 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Trevor Ariza has played over 34 minutes and scored over 27 FP in 4 straight games and he should get more shots with Harden out. Ariza is modestly priced and has been a consistent option on the season. However, he actually may be a riskier play with Harden out since the Beard usually draws the attention leaving Ariza open for 3. Harden hasn’t missed a game this season and it will be interesting to see how the Rockets click on offense without their MVP candidate. If this game against the Hawks stays close, Ariza should hit value easily.

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist has put together a solid string of performances lately. He doesn’t get a huge offensive share of the work, but his ability to grab double digit rebounds has been anchoring his fantasy production. He plays over 30 minutes consistently and he gets a soft matchup against the Lakers.

Kris Middleton has quietly become a consistent option recently as evidenced by his high Last 10 floor value. In fact, he’s scored over 24 FP in 8 of his last 10 games while his minutes have climbed to the mid 30’s. That’s a pretty solid track record and role available for just over 6k.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 10.39.00 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Pau Gasol is probable with an illness. It’s unclear if the illness factored in to his previous game, but it was an awful performance in which he shot 15% from the field. Pau is essentially the last man standing for the Bulls with DRose and Jimmy Minutes out for an extended period. Although that would usually make him a must play given the amount of usage he should see, his last performance as well as his historically mediocre performances against the Wizards makes me hesitate a bit. In his last 5 games against the Wizards, Pau has exceeded the 40 FP barrier only twice. However, I’m willing to overlook his lackluster track record in light of the opportunity and usage available to him. I have a hard time seeing him take less than 20 shots and he should easily exceed the 40 FP threshold.

C

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 10.39.08 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

DeMarcus Cousins  is questionable with a sprained ankle and hip contusion. His price on FanDuel makes him too risky to me and I’ll be fading him for cash game purposes.

Al Horford has put up over 27 FP in 6 straight games and has been a consistent option on the court as well as in DFS. He’ll be coming off a good amount of rest against a smaller, depleted Rockets team and he should produce great value. If the Rockets can keep this close, Horford will make for an excellent play given his ability to fill up the stat sheet.

Check out our free FanDuel NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more.

DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 3-3-15

Barg

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 8.45.04 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Courtney Lee is minimum priced and seeing 30 minutes a game. In his previous games against Utah, Lee scored 21 and 11 FP. His per minute production isn’t great, but paying 3k for 30 minutes of run isn’t a bad deal.

Corey Brewer‘s playing time has been severely reduced in his last 2 games out, but he stands to get a bump in minutes with James Harden suspended for one game. He’s a boom or bust play that can rack up steals in a hurry and he’s modestly priced. In 2 of his last 5 games, Brewer exceeded 35 FP. Keep an eye out to see who’s starting for the Rockets.

Jeremy Lin is starting to get a more consistent role under Coach Scott. In his last 3 games, Lin has receive 23, 29 and 32 minutes of playing time and he’s trending in the right direction. Lin is an offensively aggressive player that likes to slash to the rim and draw contact and Al Jefferson isn’t known for his rim protection. Although Lin is coming off the bench, 30 minutes of playing time with a high usage rate is a reasonable expectation. He makes for an excellent GPP play.

Andrea Bargnani is playing a key role in the depleted Knicks roster. He’s played over 30 minutes in 2 consecutive games and has taken over 10 shots in 4 straight games. He’s featured a fair amount in their offense and he should continue to see a good portion of shots with his 30 minutes. He’s modestly priced at 4.5k and he makes for a great GPP play.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 8.45.11 PM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Michael Carter-Williams saw over 30 minutes of action for the first time as a Buck in his last game. In his time as a Sixer, MCW was a triple-double threat any time he was on the floor. The Bucks are a deeper and more talented roster, however, and MCW likely won’t see the same amount of usage or playing time that he did in Philly. His recent bump in playing time puts him back on the map, but I’ll be looking elsewhere at his price range.

Jeff Teague was rested last game and he should be ready to go against the Rockets. He’s still only priced at 6.4k, but he’s got a tough “welcome back” matchup in Patrick Beverley. Without James Harden, the Rockets may have a difficult time keeping pace with the Hawks and that, along with Patrick Beverley, puts Teague off of my radar.

Bradley Beal returned and surprisingly played 33 minutes in his last game. There haven’t been any reports of setbacks after the game, so it’s difficult to tell whether he’ll receive his usual share of minutes again in this game with the Bulls. Jimmy Butler’s absence due to an elbow injury weighs in Beal’s favor and he’s priced roughly 1k lower than he usually is. Beal makes for a decent GPP play.

Kyle Korver isn’t the flashiest name in DFS and he’s more often praised for his on court impact as opposed to his fantasy impact. However, Korver still sees minutes in the mid 30’s and he can rack up the points quickly on DraftKings with his ability to hit 3’s. He’s exceeded 30 FP in his last 2 games against the Rockets and that trend should continue.

Check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more.

DraftKings NBA Floor Charts 3-3-15

Kyle-Korver-Continues-to-Impress

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 8.45.20 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Jeff Teague was rested last game and he should be ready to go against the Rockets. He’s still only priced at 6.4k, but he’s got a tough “welcome back” matchup in Patrick Beverley. Without James Harden, the Rockets may have a difficult time keeping pace with the Hawks and that, along with Patrick Beverley, puts Teague off of my radar.

Patrick Beverley isn’t known as a prolific scorer, but as a starting point guard playing 35 minutes a game and priced at 4.5k, he doesn’t really have to be. The title of “point guard’ for Beverley has been a misnomer actually since James Harden usually does all of the ball handling. However, Harden has been suspended for a game and that should leave the keys to the kingdom to Beverley. With the added responsibilities and perhaps even a few more minutes, Beverley makes for a great value play.

Kyrie Irving is probable with a strained shoulder.

Jeremy Lin is starting to get a more consistent role under Coach Scott. In his last 3 games, Lin has receive 23, 29 and 32 minutes of playing time and he’s trending in the right direction. Lin is an offensively aggressive player that likes to slash to the rim and draw contact and Al Jefferson isn’t known for his rim protection. Although Lin is coming off the bench, 30 minutes of playing time with a high usage rate is a reasonable expectation. He makes for an excellent GPP play. He’s a bit risky as a cash option, but he has great upside.

Michael Carter-Williams saw over 30 minutes of action for the first time as a Buck in his last game. In his time as a Sixer, MCW was a triple-double threat any time he was on the floor. The Bucks are a deeper and more talented roster, however, and MCW likely won’t see the same amount of usage or playing time that he did in Philly. His recent bump in playing time puts him back on the map, but I’ll be looking elsewhere at his price range.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 8.45.29 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Kyle Korver isn’t the flashiest name in DFS and he’s more often praised for his on court impact as opposed to his fantasy impact. However, Korver still sees minutes in the mid 30’s and he can rack up the points quickly on DraftKings with his ability to hit 3’s. He’s exceeded 30 FP in his last 2 games against the Rockets and that trend should continue.

Kris Middleton has quietly become a consistent option recently as evidenced by his high Last 10 floor value. In fact, he’s scored over 24 FP in 9 of his last 10 games while his minutes have climbed to the mid 30’s. That’s a pretty solid track record and role available for just over 6k.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 8.45.40 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

LeBron James has put together a couple of impressive performances of 65+ FP against his MVP candidate counterparts. Despite his recent production, his price hasn’t raised much on DraftKings. Keep in mind that Kyrie was out with a shoulder injury for both of these games. Kyrie is currently probable for the game against Boston and he should take back some touches and shots from LeBron. However, LBJ is gaining steam and is back in impressive form. He makes for a solid play at SF.

Trevor Ariza has played over 34 minutes and scored over 27 FP in 4 straight games and he should get more shots with Harden out. Ariza is modestly priced and has been a consistent option on the season. However, he actually may be a riskier play with Harden out since the Beard usually draws the attention leaving Ariza open for 3. Harden hasn’t missed a game this season and it will be interesting to see how the Rockets click on offense without their MVP candidate. If this game against the Hawks stays close, Ariza should hit value easily.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 8.45.46 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Pau Gasol is probable with an illness. It’s unclear if the illness factored in to his previous game, but it was an awful performance in which he shot 15% from the field. Pau is essentially the last man standing for the Bulls with DRose and Jimmy Minutes out for an extended period. Although that would usually make him a must play given the amount of usage he should see, his last performance as well as his historically mediocre performances against the Wizards makes me hesitate a bit. In his last 5 games against the Wizards, Pau has exceeded the 40 FP barrier only twice. However, I’m willing to overlook his lackluster track record in light of the opportunity and usage available to him. I have a hard time seeing him take less than 20 shots and he should easily exceed the 40 FP threshold.

C

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 8.45.56 PM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

DeMarcus Cousins is questionable with a sprained ankle and hip contusion. If he plays, he makes for a great GPP play given his insane talent and ability to blow up for 60+ FP. Boogie hasn’t ever been a great cash option though due to his temper tantrums and penchant for making poor decisions. Even if he plays, it’s unclear how close to 100% he will be. His price is tempting, but his volatility makes him a risky play.

Al Horford has put up over 29 FP in 6 straight games and has been a consistent option on the court as well as in DFS. He’ll be coming off a good amount of rest against a smaller, depleted Rockets team and he should produce great value. If the Rockets can keep this close, Horford will make for an excellent play given his ability to fill up the stat sheet.

Check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more.

FanDuel NBA Ceiling Charts 3-2-15

vasquez(1)

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 2.11.28 AM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

James Johnson makes for a solid punt play at 4k. Lowry was out last game and Johnson saw 32 minutes of run in which he produced 28 FP. Lowry is currently projected to rest against the Sixers as well giving Johnson a solid match-up and opportunity.

Marreese Speights stands to gain some minutes from Andrew Bogut’s expected absence on the back end of a back-to-back. If he touches the ball, he’s most likely taking a shot and he’s a streaky shooter for better or worse. Mo Buckets is a risky play though since he saw 0 minutes in the Warriors’ victory over the Celtics. Zero. Daunting though that may be, Speights could pay off huge if he gets hot tomorrow against the Nets and he’s only priced at 3.9k.

JJ Redick is probable with a minor knee injury.

Greivis Vasquez gets another day starting at point with Lowry projected as out against the Sixers. He’s priced to move and he should get around 30-35 minutes of run as long as this isn’t a blow out. In his last game, Vasquez put up 23 FP in 34 minutes of playing time and a repeat performance is a reasonable expectation. He makes for a solid and safe punt play.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 2.11.35 AM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Mario Chalmers’ playing time hasn’t been decreased to the degree that many thought it would after the arrival of Goran Dragic. In fact, Rio played 33 minutes last game even with Wade and Dragic playing full games and Chalmers posted a solid 33 FP in the game. Dragic is currently questionable with back spasms. If the Dragon sits, Chalmers makes a decent punt play.

UPDATE: Kevin Martin is questionable with an illness.

Lou Williams busted out for 29 FP in 33 minutes of playing time in which he jacked up 16 shots. The extra time was mainly due to Kyle Lowry’s absence and he’s expected to miss the game against the Sixers as well. As always, Lou is a boom or bust option, but getting an extra 10 minutes of run helps to minimize the “bust” probability. In those 16 shots he took last game, he only shot 37.5% from the field and I’d expect that number to improve against the Sixers. Lou is one of my favorite punt plays on the day.

UPDATE: Tyson Chandler is OUT.

Tyson Chandler is questionable with a hip contusion.

DeMar DeRozan‘s price has fallen to 6.4k which puts him on my radar. His recent performance has certainly earned him that price reduction, but he gets a golden opportunity playing against the Sixers without Kyle Lowry. This is by no means a safe play, but he’s priced favorably and could pay off huge if he gets back on track.

Gorgui Dieng has the opportunity for major minutes tomorrow with Nikola Pekovic doubtful due to ankle soreness. The only reason I’m pumping my brakes here is that Dieng will be facing off against DeAndre Jordan who has been a man among boys as of late. The price and opportunity are favorable, but the match-up gives me pause as it probably will to others as well. Dieng makes for a solid GPP play since most of the field will be turning to DJ or Whiteside with all of the value at the guard spots.

Check out our free FanDuel NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more.

FanDuel NBA Floor Charts 3-2-15

Jamal-Crawford-Allen-Einstein-NBA-Getty-Images(1)

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

PG

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 2.11.48 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Stephen Curry is my favorite player (clearly), but I’m hesitant to play him against the Nets. The Warriors will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights and I’d expect Kerr to try and give Steph as much rest as possible. Curry will put up great per minute production, I’m just cloudy on the minutes he’ll end up playing. If the Nets keep it close, Steph could make for an awesome play. But the “if” of that statement takes him off my cash game options for now.

Chris Paul on the other hand has seen 37 minutes or more of action for 4 consecutive games. With Blake Griffin out, the Clips are heavily reliant upon CP3 and he’s scored over 44 FP in 4 straight games. The only question here is whether the TWolves will keep the game close enough for CP3 to reach those 37-40 minutes of playing time. When the Clips blew out the Kings, CP3 scored 24 FP in 27 minutes of action and that’s a possible outcome for this game as well. In fact, in the last game against the TWolves, CP3 scored 27 FP in 24 minutes in a blowout win. However, CP3 scored over 44 FP in all of his games against the TWolves last year. With BG out, I’d take CP3 over Curry which pains me to say.

Goran Dragic is questionable with back spasms.

UPDATE: Brandon Knight is probable.

Brandon Knight is questionable with a hip pointer.

Greivis Vasquez gets another day starting at point with Lowry projected as out against the Sixers. He’s priced to move and he should get around 30-35 minutes of run as long as this isn’t a blow out. In his last game, Vasquez put up 23 FP in 34 minutes of playing time and a repeat performance is a reasonable expectation. He makes for a solid and safe punt play.

Mario Chalmers’ playing time hasn’t been decreased to the degree that many thought it would after the arrival of Goran Dragic. In fact, Rio played 33 minutes last game even with Wade and Dragic playing full games and Chalmers posted a solid 33 FP in the game. Dragic is currently questionable with back spasms. If the Dragon sits, Chalmers makes a decent punt play.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 2.11.57 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Jason Richardson‘s stats are from a small sample size, but he’s established himself a a key player for the Sixers. He has scored over 20 FP in 3 of the 5 games he has played and is a decent punt play that should knock down a few 3’s. He may be a candidate for rest due to his advanced age and being on the back end of a back-to-back. Keep an eye out on his status if you’re considering playing him.

Jamal Crawford should get a boost in playing time with Matt Barnes doubtful with a strained hammy. JCrossover is put on the court to do one thing: score. One of my favorite tweets by Ethan Strauss about Crawford said this: “Jamal Crawford is unguardable because he specializes in the bad decisions defenders try to force guys into”. I expect JCrossover to give us an object lesson of that notion in a favorable match-up against the TWolves.

UPDATE: Kevin Martin is questionable with an illness.

JJ Redick is probable with a minor knee injury.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 2.27.05 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Michael Beasley’s stats are from a small sample size and he’s a very volatile pick for now. He saw more playing time in his 2nd game out before fouling out, so at least his minutes are trending up. He’s at minimum price, but I’ll be avoiding him as a cash play.

Draymond Green may be a candidate for rest against the Nets. Whether that rest comes in the form of a DNP or depressed minutes is still up in the air. BDD is one of my favorite players in the NBA and I had him locked into my lineups until I heard this news. With the Warriors in solid playoff positioning and on the back end of a back-to-back, they can afford to rest some of their stalwarts like Green. Play him at your own risk.

UPDATE: Chandler Parsons is OUT.

Chandler Parsons is questionable with a sprained ankle.

Andrew Wiggins is assured of one thing: minutes. It doesn’t matter if the TWolves are getting wrecked (which very well may be the case against the Clips), Flip Saunders is committed to developing the star prospect and will run him into the ground until he begs for time off (not sure if that will even work). His per minute production leaves something to be desired, but he’ll get a solid 35-40 minutes and he’s priced in the mid-tier on a day where the SF options are sparse. He’s scored over 23 FP in 8 of his last 10 games.

James Johnson makes for a solid punt play at 4k. Lowry was out last game and Johnson saw 32 minutes of run in which he produced 28 FP. Lowry is currently projected to rest against the Sixers as well giving Johnson a solid match-up and opportunity.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 2.12.16 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Thaddeus Young‘s role with the Nets is still in flux and his playing time has been all over the place. Although his minutes are trending up, he makes for a risky play. He’s projected to eventually be their starting PF, but who knows when that will happen. Play him at your own risk.

C

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 2.12.26 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

UPDATE: Tyson Chandler is OUT.

Tyson Chandler is questionable with a hip contusion.

DeAndre Jordan is a rebounding machine and the least amount of FP he’s scored in 8 games is 35 FP. He’s priced at a premium, but he provides a safe floor at the center spot. With all the value plays available on the day, it should be easy to fit DJ in.

UPDATE: Chris Andersen is doubtful to play.

Chris Andersen is questionable with an illness.

Gorgui Dieng has the opportunity for major minutes tomorrow with Nikola Pekovic doubtful due to ankle soreness. The only reason I’m pumping my brakes here is that Dieng will be facing off against DeAndre Jordan who has been a man among boys as of late. The price and opportunity are favorable, but the match-up gives me pause as it probably will to others as well. Dieng makes for a solid GPP play since most of the field will be turning to DJ or Whiteside with all of the value at the guard spots. I won’t be looking his way as a cash play though since fouling DeAndre Jordan seems to be a favorite pastime among NBA coaches.

Hassan Whiteside is still priced in the mid-tier and he has every opportunity to blow up for a 20+ rebound game. He should heavily influence the game against Phoenix tomorrow with his length and rim protection. The Suns’ rebounding stats are below average and Whiteside has a great chance at another 20+ rebound game.

Check out our free FanDuel NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more.

DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 3-2-15

bkn_jazz_raptors_20141115_35190171(1)

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 12.47.08 AM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

Lou Williams busted out for 31 FP in 33 minutes of playing time in which he jacked up 16 shots. The extra time was mainly due to Kyle Lowry’s absence and he’s expected to miss the game against the Sixers as well. As always, Lou is a boom or bust option, but getting an extra 10 minutes of run helps to minimize the “bust” probability. In those 16 shots he took last game, he only shot 37.5% from the field and I’d expect that number to improve against the Sixers. Lou is one of my favorite punt plays on the day.

Marreese Speights stands to gain some minutes from Andrew Bogut’s expected absence on the back end of a back-to-back. If he touches the ball, he’s most likely taking a shot and he’s a streaky shooter for better or worse. Mo Buckets is a risky play though since he saw 0 minutes in the Warriors’ victory over the Celtics. Zero. Daunting though that may be, Speights could pay off huge if he gets hot tomorrow against the Nets and he’s only priced at 3.2k.

Mario Chalmers‘ playing time hasn’t been decreased to the degree that many thought it would after the arrival of Goran Dragic. In fact, Rio played 33 minutes last game even with Wade and Dragic playing full games and Chalmers posted a solid 35 FP in the game. Dragic is currently questionable with back spasms. If the Dragon sits, Chalmers makes a great punt play.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 12.47.20 AM*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

UPDATE: Kevin Martin is questionable with an illness.

Gorgui Dieng has the opportunity for major minutes tomorrow with Nikola Pekovic doubtful due to ankle soreness. The only reason I’m pumping my brakes here is that Dieng will be facing off against DeAndre Jordan who has been a man among boys as of late. The price and opportunity are favorable, but the match-up gives me pause as it probably will to others as well. Dieng makes for a solid GPP play since most of the field will be turning to DJ or Whiteside with all of the value at the guard spots.

UPDATE: Brandon Knight is probable.

Brandon Knight is questionable with a hip pointer.

UPDATE: Chandler Parsons is OUT.

Chandler Parsons is questionable with a sprained ankle.

Draymond Green may be a candidate for rest against the Nets. Whether that rest comes in the form of a DNP or depressed minutes is still up in the air. BDD is one of my favorite players in the NBA and I had him locked into my lineups until I heard this news. With the Warriors in solid playoff positioning and on the back end of a back-to-back, they can afford to rest some of their stalwarts like Green. Play him at your own risk.

Check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more.

DraftKings NBA Floor Charts 3-2-15

Jamal-Crawford-Allen-Einstein-NBA-Getty-Images(1)

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 12.47.32 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Stephen Curry is my favorite player (clearly), but I’m hesitant to play him against the Nets. The Warriors will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights and I’d expect Kerr to try and give Steph as much rest as possible. Curry will put up great per minute production, I’m just cloudy on the minutes he’ll end up playing. If the Nets keep it close, Steph could make for an awesome play. But the “if” of that statement takes him off my cash game options for now.

Chris Paul on the other hand has seen 37 minutes or more of action for 4 consecutive games. With Blake Griffin out, the Clips are heavily reliant upon CP3 and he’s scored over 45 FP in 4 straight games. The only question here is whether the TWolves will keep the game close enough for CP3 to reach those 37-40 minutes of playing time. When the Clips blew out the Kings, CP3 scored 25 FP in 27 minutes of action and that’s a possible outcome for this game as well. In fact, in the last game against the TWolves, CP3 scored 28 FP in 24 minutes in a blowout win. However, CP3 scored over 45 FP in all of his games against the TWolves last year. With BG out, I’d take CP3 over Curry which pains me to say.

UPDATE: Brandon Knight is probable.

Brandon Knight is questionable with a hip pointer.

Tyreke Evans has scored over 30 FP in 6 straight games and I expect that trend to continue. He’s reached a double double with points and assists in 4 of those 6 games and he’ll have a solid chance of making it 5 of 7. He’s the main ball handler for the Pelicans now and he should get solid run and an ample amount of touches. In his 3 games against the Mavs this year, he’s scored 55, 15, and 47 FP. Tyson Chandler played in all 3 of those games and he affects Tyreke’s effectiveness due to his solid rim protection. Tyson Chandler is currently questionable and he’d give a boost to Evans if he’s out. There’s risk with playing Reke, but I’m rolling with him.

Mario Chalmers‘ playing time hasn’t been decreased to the degree that many thought it would after the arrival of Goran Dragic. In fact, Rio played 33 minutes last game even with Wade and Dragic playing full games and Chalmers posted a solid 35 FP in the game. Dragic is currently questionable with back spasms. If the Dragon sits, Chalmers makes a great punt play.

Goran Dragic is questionable with back spasms.

Greivis Vasquez gets another day starting at point with Lowry projected as out against the Sixers. He’s priced to move and he should get around 30-35 minutes of run as long as this isn’t a blow out. In his last game, Vasquez put up 27 FP in 34 minutes of playing time and a repeat performance is a reasonable expectation. He makes for a solid and safe punt play.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 12.47.41 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Jason Richardson‘s stats are from a small sample size, but he’s established himself a a key player for the Sixers. He has scored over 23 FP in 3 of the 5 games he has played and is a decent punt play that should knock down a few 3’s. He may be a candidate for rest due to his advanced age and being on the back end of a back-to-back. Keep an eye out on his status if you’re considering playing him.

Jamal Crawford should get a boost in playing time with Matt Barnes doubtful with a strained hammy. JCrossover is put on the court to do one thing: score. One of my favorite tweets by Ethan Strauss about Crawford said this: “Jamal Crawford is unguardable because he specializes in the bad decisions defenders try to force guys into”. I expect JCrossover to give us an object lesson of that notion in a favorable match-up against the TWolves.

UPDATE: Kevin Martin is questionable with an illness.

JJ Redick is probable with a minor knee injury.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 12.54.32 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

UPDATE: Chandler Parsons is OUT.

Chandler Parsons is questionable with a sprained ankle.

Michael Beasley‘s stats are from a small sample size and he’s a very volatile pick for now. He saw more playing time in his 2nd game out before fouling out, so at least his minutes are trending up. He’s near minimum price, but I’ll be avoiding him as a cash play.

Andrew Wiggins is assured of one thing: minutes. It doesn’t matter if the TWolves are getting wrecked (which very well may be the case against the Clips), Flip Saunders is committed to developing the star prospect and will run him into the ground until he begs for time off (not sure if that will even work). His per minute production leaves something to be desired, but he’ll get a solid 35-40 minutes and he’s priced in the mid-tier on a day where the SF options are sparse. He’s scored over 24 FP in 8 of his last 10 games. I’m having a hard time ignoring him.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 12.48.00 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

Thaddeus Young‘s role with the Nets is still in flux and his playing time has been all over the place. Although his minutes are trending up, he makes for a risky play. He’s projected to eventually be their starting PF, but who knows when that will happen. Play him at your own risk.

Draymond Green may be a candidate for rest against the Nets. Whether that rest comes in the form of a DNP or depressed minutes is still up in the air. BDD is one of my favorite players in the NBA and I had him locked into my lineups until I heard this news. With the Warriors in solid playoff positioning and on the back end of a back-to-back, they can afford to rest some of their stalwarts like Green. Play him at your own risk.

David Lee is one of my favorite plays of the day. Weird, right? This is assuming that Bogut is rested on the Warriors’ 4th game in 5 days. In the last game Bogut sat, DLee put up 44 FP in 30 minutes of playing time. While 44 FP may be a bit much to expect, DLee should return solid value if he gets that amount of run. Bogut is currently doubtful and you should keep an eye on his status.

C

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 12.48.07 AM*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

DeAndre Jordan is a rebounding machine and the least amount of FP he’s scored in 8 games is 37 FP. He’s priced at a premium, but he provides a safe floor at the center spot. With all the value plays available on the day, it should be easy to fit DJ in.

UPDATE: Chris Andersen is doubtful.

Chris Andersen is questionable with an illness.

UPDATE: Tyson Chandler is OUT.

Tyson Chandler is questionable with a hip contusion.

Gorgui Dieng has the opportunity for major minutes tomorrow with Nikola Pekovic doubtful due to ankle soreness. The only reason I’m pumping my brakes here is that Dieng will be facing off against DeAndre Jordan who has been a man among boys as of late. The price and opportunity are favorable, but the match-up gives me pause as it probably will to others as well. Dieng makes for a solid GPP play since most of the field will be turning to DJ or Whiteside with all of the value at the guard spots. I won’t be looking his way as a cash play though since fouling DeAndre Jordan seems to be a favorite pastime among NBA coaches.

Check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool with additional player stats, historical game logs, and more.