DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 2-27-15

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GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

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I like Corey Brewer, Lou Williams, and Danny Green the most in that order. Corey Brewer has had over 35 FP in 2 of his last 3 games with Harden playing. Harden is currently questionable with a sprained ankle and, if Harden is out, Brewer stands to gain more minutes and looks. Lou Williams is a boom or bust option that comes off the bench to do one thing: score. The Warriors/Raptors game has an initial over/under of 215 with a spread of 1. I could easily see the Raptors relying on their bench for scoring against the Warriors top rated defense. Danny Green was seeing less minutes in his last few games until busting out with 32 minutes against the Trailblazers. Priced at $4k and seeing that amount of time, Danny Green is an enticing option.

Keep an eye on Marreese Speights depending on Bogut’s availability against the Raptors. Steve Kerr said that he wanted to rest Bogut and Iguodala at some point during this 6 game road trip. Given that the game against the Raptors are on the back end of a back-to-back, Bogut and Iguodala may not see the court on Friday. If that were the case, Speights will get more run and, if he touches the ball, you can be sure that he’s shooting it.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-02-26 at 4.28.36 PM

Kenneth Faried – Probable: thumb.

Gorgui Dieng‘s minutes are in flux recently ranging between 25-37 minutes in his last 3 games. I personally think he’s a bit too risky, but one can speculate that the TWolves will need more size to match up with the Bulls and give Dieng more minutes as a result.

Marcin Gortat has a soft match up against the 76ers who are ranked in the bottom of the league in DvP for centers. This game could get out of hand early. But, if it stays close, Gortat could return great value.

You don’t have to check your eyes, Jeff Teague is actually priced at $6,300. He has only been seeing minutes in the mid 20’s as of late which justifies his falling price. The Hawks/Magic game has a spread of 11 currently – buyer beware.

 

*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performances, values, and much more!

DraftKings NBA Floor Charts 2-27-15

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Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-02-26 at 4.28.45 PM

Patrick Beverley – Questionable: illness.

The Warriors/Raptors game has a 215 over/under and a spread of 1 initially. It’s very possible that Bogut and Iguodala sit this game. If they do, the Warriors will need to rely on their offense more than their defense. Steph Curry will have his fingerprints all over this game either way and he’s currently priced under 10k. In his last 3 games against the Raptors, Curry has returned 62, 50 and 59 FP.

John Wall hasn’t looked right lately. He’s reported as having a jammed thumb currently and it may have affected him these past few games. In addition, this game against the 76ers could get out of hand quickly. Despite his enticing price, I’ll be looking elsewhere to pay up for PG on Friday.

The Thunder offense rests solely on Russell Westbeast’s shoulders right now and his per minute production is insane. What I love most about RWB is his aggressive mentality. He won’t be taking any plays off and he’ll get all the touches he wants. You’ll have to pay a pretty penny, but I have a hard time seeing him scoring below 50 FP in this match up with the Blazers.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-02-26 at 4.28.53 PM

Jason Richardson – Note: small sample size. Seeing minutes in the mid 20’s and his price just jumped 1k.

James Harden – Questionable: ankle.

Danny Green was seeing less minutes in his last few games until busting out with 32 minutes against the Trailblazers. Priced at $4k and seeing that amount of time, Danny Green is an enticing option.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-02-26 at 4.29.01 PM

Joffrey Lauvergne – Note: small sample size.

Andre Iguodala – Questionable: rest.

Depending on the status of Iguodala, Harrison Barnes may see some extra run against the Raptors. He’s currently seeing time around 30 minutes and could see that bumped by 5 minutes or more. HB is only priced at 3.8k and is a low risk punt play if Andre is out.

Boogie is currently listed as out for Friday’s game. As it stands, the keys to the Kings offense will belong to Rudy Gay. Gay will see all the minutes and shots that he wants, the only caveat being the Spurs’ stingy defense in the form of Kawhi Leonard.

Speaking of Kawhi Leonard, he finally saw more than 30 minutes in his last game against the Blazers. Seeing that amount of time, Kawhi is usually priced in the upper 7k’s. Assuming his increased minutes stick, Kawhi can be had at a great discount.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-02-26 at 4.29.08 PM

Thaddeus Young – Note: new team.

UPDATE: Pau Gasol is OUT with an illness

With the Derrick Rose unfortunately out with a torn meniscus, the Bulls have to make up for his offensive production. Pau Gasol took 20 shots in his last game against the slow paced Hornets. The last time Gasol took 20 shots or more was in early January. Gasol will face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves who are top 10 in pace in the NBA so he should see more than 20 FGA. The only drawback with playing Gasol is relying on the TWolves to keep the game competitive. The spread is currently set at 6.5.

C

Screen Shot 2015-02-26 at 4.50.44 PM

Andrew Bogut – Questionable: rest.

 

*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performance, values, and much more!

FanDuel NBA Ceiling Charts 2-25-15

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GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.48.54 PM

Aaron Brooks – Bump: Derrick Rose out.

Evan Fournier – Note: Last 10 game stats inflated from games without Tobias.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.49.00 PM

Mo Williams – Note: new team.

Rajon Rondo – Out: suspended.

Tyson Chandler – Probable: hip.

Danny Green – Warning: seeing decreased minutes.

 

*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

For further analysis, check out our free FanDuel NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performance, values, and much more!

FanDuel NBA Floor Charts 2-25-15

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Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

PG

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 11.21.28 PM

Jeff Teague – Questionable: illness.

Brandon Knight – Note: new team.

Patrick Beverley – Questionable: illness.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.49.20 PM

SF

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 7.21.52 PM

Kawhi Leonard – Warning: seeing decreased minutes.

Wilson Chandler – Doubtful: hip.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.49.38 PM

Dirk Nowitzki – Questionable: old.

LaMarcus Aldridge – Probable: thumb.

Thaddeus Young – Note: new team.

C

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.49.49 PM

Tyson Chandler – Probable: hip.

 

*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

For further analysis, check out our free FanDuel NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performance, values, and much more!

DraftKings NBA Ceiling Charts 2-25-15

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GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.08.40 PM

Danny Green – Warning: seeing decreased minutes.

Jason Richardson – Note: small sample size. Seeing minutes in mid 20’s.

Zaza Pachulia – Warning: seeing decreased minutes.

Mid + (> $5,000)

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.08.49 PM

Mo Williams – Note: new team.

Brandon Knight – Note: new team.

Kenneth Faried – Questionable: thumb.

 

*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performances, values, and much more!

DraftKings NBA Floor Charts 2-25-15

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Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 11.24.28 PM

Brandon Knight – Note: new team.

Patrick Beverley – Questionable: illness.

Dennis Schroder – Note: bump if Teague is out.

Jeff Teague – Questionable: illness.

SG

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.09.11 PM

Jason Richardson – Note: small sample size. Seeing minutes in the mid 20’s.

Danny Green – Warning: seeing decreased minutes.

SF

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.46.03 PM

Wilson Chandler – Doubtful: hip.

Kawhi Leonard – Warning: seeing decreased minutes.

PF

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.09.28 PM

Thaddeus Young – Note: new team.

LaMarcus Aldridge – Probable: thumb.

Dirk Nowitzki – Questionable: old.

Amar’e Stoudemire – Note: new team.

C

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 6.09.39 PM

Tyson Chandler – Probable: hip.

 

*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

For further analysis, check out our free DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performance, values, and much more!

FanDuel NBA ceiling charts 2-24-15 daily fantasy nerd

091a63a3_smush_reggie_jackson_thunder_2014_1-660x400

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

091a63a3_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.48.22+PM

Reggie Jackson  – Bump: starting PG for Detroit

Mid + (> $5,000)

091a63a3_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.48.31+PM

 

*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

For further analysis, check out our free player stats and FanDuel NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performance, values, and much more!

FanDuel NBA floor charts 2-24-15 daily fantasy nerd

7a61d6da_smush_Russell-Westbrook-interview-execution

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

FanDuel

PG

091a63a3_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.48.40+PM

Stephen Curry – Active: foot.

Russell Westbrook – Bump: KD out.

Reggie Jackson – Bump: starting PG for Detroit.

SG

091a63a3_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.48.47+PM

SF

091a63a3_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.48.56+PM

PF

091a63a3_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.49.04+PM

Patrick Patterson  – Questionable: knee.

C

091a63a3_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.49.13+PM

Enes Kanter – Note: new team.

Lavoy Allen – Warning: stats are inflated from role earlier in the season. He has fallen out of the rotation.

 

*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

For further analysis, check out our free player stats and FanDuel NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performance, values, and much more!

DraftKings NBA ceiling charts 2-24-15 daily fantasy nerd

7a61d6da_smush_reggie_jackson_thunder_2014_1-660x400

GPP (guaranteed prize pools) contests are large field tournaments that offer higher payouts by decreasing the number of winners that cash. While cash games (H2H and 50/50s) pay out the top 50%, GPPs often only pay out the top 20% or less. In this format, it’s best to target riskier, higher upside players in hopes of finding a low percentage owned player that crushes value.

When looking for high upside players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s ceiling. We can calculate a player’s ceiling by taking their season fantasy point average plus one standard deviation. The player’s ceiling tells us their fantasy point upside. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this ceiling 16% of the time.

Looking at a player’s ceiling, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the ceiling ratio (ceiling divided by price). The higher the ceiling ratio, the more upside fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players by ceiling ratio.

Disclaimer: these picks aren’t necessarily safe for your H2H and 50/50 games. They are high-risk high-reward picks that are intended to differentiate your lineup.

Hint: Click on the graphs to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

Bargain Bin (< $5,000)

7a61d6da_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.13.21+PM

Reggie Jackson – Bump: starting PG for Detroit.

Mid + (> $5,000)

7a61d6da_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.13.27+PM

 

 

*Score value = 67% season ceiling value + 33% L10 ceiling value

For further analysis, check out our free player stats and DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performances, values, and much more!

DraftKings NBA floor charts 2-24-15 daily fantasy nerd

7a61d6da_smush_Russell-Westbrook-interview-execution

Cash game contests provide the most stable way to increase your bankroll. To win in cash games, you need to beat half of the field whether that is one opponent (H2H) or a group of opponents (50/50). In this format, it’s best to target consistent players.

When looking for consistent players, a great place to start is by looking at a player’s floor. We can calculate a player’s floor by taking their season fantasy point average minus one standard deviation. Assuming a normal distribution, we can expect a player to exceed this floor 84% of the time, which makes the floor a very useful method of measuring player consistency.

Looking at a player’s floor, however, isn’t useful by itself because DFS beasts like the Brow, KD, and LeBron would top the list. A better way to approach the problem is to take the player’s price into consideration by calculating the floor ratio (floor divided by price). The higher the floor ratio, the more consistent fantasy points we’re getting per dollar we’re paying.

We’ve provided you with the top rated players per position by floor ratio.

Hint: Click on the graph to maximize the image.

 

DraftKings

PG

7a61d6da_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.13.37+PM

Stephen Curry – Active: foot.

Russell Westbrook – Bump: KD out.

Reggie Jackson – Bump: starting PG for Detroit.

SG

7a61d6da_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.13.45+PM

SF

7a61d6da_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.13.55+PM

PF

7a61d6da_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.14.07+PM

Patrick Patterson – Questionable: knee.

Amar’e Stoudemire – Note: new team.

C

7a61d6da_smush_Screen+Shot+2015-02-23+at+10.14.15+PM

Enes Kanter – Note: new team.

Lavoy Allen – Warning: stats inflated due to role earlier in the season. Has fallen out of the rotation.

 

*Score value = 67% season floor value + 33% L10 floor value

For further analysis, check out our free player stats and DraftKings NBA lineup optimizer tool. We provide additional stats like DvP, odds, season and recent performance, values, and much more!